Will My Waitlisted Ticket Confirm? Check Probability Before Booking
The Waitlist Identity Crisis
"Will my ticket confirm?" is the most asked question by Indian Railway passengers. Booking a waitlisted ticket without knowing the probability is like gambling with your travel plans.
Why You Need PNR Status Prediction?
Indian Railways operates thousands of trains safely, but demand often exceeds supply. When you see GNWL, RLWL, or PQWL, it means your seat isn't confirmed yet.
Standard IRCTC enquiries only tell you the current status (e.g., WL 45). They don't tell you the most important thing: What are the chances of this getting confirmed?
This is where PNR Status Prediction comes in. By analyzing historical trends, cancellations, and seasonal data, RailTC can predict the final status of your ticket with high accuracy.
Factors Affecting Ticket Confirmation Probability
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Waitlist Type (GNWL vs RLWL) General Waiting List (GNWL) has the highest confirmation chances. Remote Location Waitlist (RLWL) and Pooled Quota (PQWL) are much harder to clear.
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Time Remaining Tickets booked 60+ days in advance have more time for cancellations to happen, increasing confirmation probability.
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Class of Travel Sleeper (SL) sees the most cancellations. AC classes (1A, 2A) see fewer cancellations, making their waitlists "stickier".
RailTC vs. Competitors
Why use RailTC over others? Because we are transparent. We don't just give you a percentage; we show you the risk analysis.
Traditional Apps
"75% Chance" (Based on generic averages)
RailTC AI
"75% Chance because this is a Tuesday train on a leisure route with high cancellations." (Context-aware)
Check PNR Status & Probability Now
Don't let uncertainty ruin your trip planning. Use our free tool to check your confirmation probability instantly.
Optimizing Returns with Pre-Booking Analysis
New Feature Alert: Why book a ticket if it's doomed to fail?
RailTC is launching a Pre-booking Prediction tool. Before you pay IRCTC, check if that WL 50 has any hope. This saves you the cancellation charges (₹60 per passenger for WL) before you even spend it.
Common Questions (FAQ)
What is a good confirmation probability?
Generally, anything above 75% is considered safe. Between 50-75% is risky (try Vikalp). Below 50% is highly unlikely to confirm.
Does TQWL confirm?
Tatkal Waitlist (TQWL) has the lowest priority. It almost never confirms unless there is a rare cancellation during chart preparation.